Kickoff: 12 Mar 2025
Atl. Madrid
Real Madrid
UEFA Champions League, Venue: Cívitas Metropolitano (Madrid, Spain)
Match Timeline
Penalty Shootout (2-4)
●
A. Rüdiger (2-4)
●
M. Llorente (2-3)
●
L. Vázquez (2-3)
●
J. Álvarez (2-3)
●
F. Valverde (2-3)
●
Á. Correa (2-2)
●
J. Bellingham (1-2)
●
A. Sørloth (1-1)
●
K. Mbappé (0-1)
128'
█
K. Mbappé
Extra Time (1-0)
115'
Endrick (out: Vinícius Jr.)
115'
█
M. Llorente
115'
█
L. Vázquez
114'
█
C. Azpilicueta
98'
C. Azpilicueta (out: R. Mandava)
91'
R. Le Normand (out: C. Lenglet)
Final Time (1-0)
90+4'
N. Molina (out: R. de Paul)
89'
A. Sørloth (out: A. Griezmann)
89'
Á. Correa (out: G. Simeone)
85'
S. Lino (out: C. Gallagher)
83'
F. Garcia (out: F. Mendy)
79'
B. Díaz (out: Rodrygo)
70'
Vinícius Jr. (miss)
68'
█
C. Lenglet
66'
█
G. Simeone
65'
L. Vázquez (out: L. Modrić)
65'
E. Camavinga (out: A. Tchouaméni)
59'
█
Vinícius Jr.
Half Time (1-0)
39'
█
A. Tchouaméni
1'
1-0
C. Gallagher
Statistics
Possession
38%
62%
Corner kicks
10
10
Fouls
11
16
Passes (total)
510
855
Yellow cards
4
4
Shots (total)
17
10
Shots (on target)
8
3
Shots (off target)
7
4
Accurate passes
440
790
Atl. Madrid vs Real Madrid Preview Stats
These statistics include important metrics such as Points Per Game, Win Percentage, BTTS, and Over 2.5 Goals. They are based on the last 10 matches (or fewer) across all competitions (including cups, continental leagues, etc). You can find more detailed data under "Teams Form" below.
Points Per Game (Overall)
Atl. Madrid
Real Madrid
1.8
2.3
Points Per Game (Home/Away)
Atl. Madrid
Real Madrid
2.5
2
Win Percentage (Overall)
Atl. Madrid
Real Madrid
50%
70%
Win Percentage (Home/Away)
Atl. Madrid
Real Madrid
75%
60%
Both Teams To Score (matches - Overall)
Atl. Madrid
Real Madrid
60%
80%
Both Teams To Score (matches - Home/Away)
Atl. Madrid
Real Madrid
25%
80%
Over 2.5 Goals (matches - Overall)
Atl. Madrid
Real Madrid
60%
60%
Over 2.5 Goals (matches - Home/Away)
Atl. Madrid
Real Madrid
25%
60%
Atl. Madrid vs Real Madrid Key Facts
Real Madrid are 28% better in form than Atlético Madrid over the last matches.
Atlético Madrid are 21% better in terms of average goals scored than Real Madrid over the last matches across all competitions.
Atlético Madrid and Real Madrid are equal in terms of average goals conceded over the last matches across all competitions.
Atlético Madrid (playing at home) are 25% better in terms of average goals scored than Real Madrid (playing away).
Atlético Madrid, playing at home, has outperformed Real Madrid by 82% in terms of average goals conceded when Real Madrid is playing away.
Referee: Szymon Marciniak
Avg ▊: 4.3
Avg ▊: 0.1
Avg
▊
▊
: 0.1
Atl. Madrid vs Real Madrid Head to Head
Atl. Madrid
All Time H2H
82 matches
Real Madrid
Wins
14
Draws
25
Wins
43
85
Goals
133
17.1%
Win Perc.
52.4%
30.5%
Draw Perc.
30.5%
52.4%
Lost Perc.
17.1%
BTTS Yes / No
61% / 39%
2.5 Goals Over / Under
46.3% / 53.7%
Atl. Madrid
Recent H2H
14 matches
Real Madrid
Wins
3
Draws
5
Wins
6
17
Goals
20
21.4%
Win Perc.
42.9%
35.7%
Draw Perc.
35.7%
42.9%
Lost Perc.
21.4%
BTTS Yes / No
78.6% / 21.4%
2.5 Goals Over / Under
35.7% / 64.3%
The last match between Atl. Madrid and Real Madrid was played on 04-03-2025, at Real Madrid's stadium and was won by Real Madrid with 2-1.
Atl. Madrid vs Real Madrid Prediction
How Often Did the Teams Win When They Were Expected To?
Atl. Madrid started as the favorite in 7 out of their last 10 matches and successfully upheld that status by winning 5 (71%). This performance is considered very good.
Real Madrid entered 9 of their last 10 matches as the favorite, maintaining that status in 6 (67%) of those matches with a win. This performance is rated as very good.
Last 15-Minute Comebacks: Points Secured from a Losing Position
Atl. Madrid (1 point earned away):
- playing away against Barcelona, drew 4-4 (25 Feb 2025), Copa del Rey.
Last 15-Minute Slips: From Advantage to Losing Points
Atl. Madrid (lost points away):
- playing away against Getafe, lost 2-1 (09 Mar 2025), LaLiga.
Who Will Win?
We believe there is a 37.1% chance that the match will be won by Atl. Madrid (weak confidence).
The chances for Real Madrid stand at 35.9%, while the probability of a draw is 27%.
Will Both Teams Score?
There is strong confidence that Atl. Madrid and Real Madrid will both score in this match (58.9% chance for Yes).
How Many Goals Will Be Scored (Over/Under 2.5)?
We think that over 2.5 goals will be scored in this match, with a 54.8% chance and moderate confidence.
View Performance of PredictionsMore Chances (by odds)
First To Score
1
X
2
43.9%
6.9%
49.1%
Confidence: weak
First Half Result
1
X
2
29%
41.1%
29.9%
Confidence: moderate
DISCLAIMER:
The predictions provided on this site are for informational purposes only and are not guaranteed outcomes. We strongly recommend to make your own judgments before placing any bets. The site cannot be held responsible or liable for any wins or losses resulting from relying solely on these predictions without independent analysis.
Teams Form (all competitions)
10
Matches
10
1.8
Pts/Game (PPG)
2.3
2.5
PPG Home
2.6
1.33
PPG Away
2
50%
Win Perc.
70%
75%
Win Perc. Home
80%
33%
Win Perc. Away
60%
30%
Draw Perc.
20%
25%
Draw Perc. Home
20%
33%
Draw Perc. Away
20%
20%
Lost Perc.
10%
0%
Lost Perc. Home
0%
33%
Lost Perc. Away
20%
5 / 3 / 2
Won/Draw/Lost
7 / 2 / 1
3 / 1 / 0
W/D/L Home
4 / 1 / 0
2 / 2 / 2
W/D/L Away
3 / 1 / 1
Teams Goals (all competitions)
Atl. Madrid
23 - 11
Real Madrid
19 - 11
23 / 2.3
Scored / Avg
19 / 1.9
9 / 2.25
Scored Home / Avg
10 / 2
14 / 2.33
Scored Away / Avg
9 / 1.8
11 / 1.1
Conceded / Avg
11 / 1.1
1 / 0.25
Conc. Home / Avg
4 / 0.8
10 / 1.67
Conc. Away / Avg
7 / 1.4
6
BTTS Matches
8
60%
BTTS %
80%
25%
BTTS Home
80%
83%
BTTS Away
80%
60%
Over 2.5
60%
40%
Under 2.5
40%
25%
Over 2.5 Home
60%
75%
Under 2.5 Home
40%
83%
Over 2.5 Away
60%
17%
Under 2.5 Away
40%