Kickoff: 04 May 2025
Brighton
Newcastle
Premier League, Venue: American Express Stadium (Falmer, England)
Match Timeline
Final Time (1-1)
90+7'
E. Krafth (out: K. Trippier)
90+7'
S. Botman (out: F. Schär)
90+4'
D. Gómez (out: Y. Minteh)
90+3'
B. Gruda (out: M. O'Riley)
90+3'
█
D. Welbeck
89'
1-1
A. Isak (pen)
74'
C. Wilson (out: J. Willock)
72'
█
J. Willock
71'
VAR: no penalty (J. Willock)
69'
J. Veltman (out: S. Adingra)
69'
Y. Ayari (out: J. Hinshelwood)
59'
VAR: no penalty (A. Gordon)
56'
A. Gordon (out: J. Murphy)
54'
T. Lamptey (out: M. Wieffer)
Half Time (1-0)
32'
█
M. Wieffer
28'
1-0
Y. Minteh (M. Wieffer)
Statistics
Possession
46%
54%
Corner kicks
1
4
Fouls
15
10
Passes (total)
378
440
Yellow cards
2
1
Shots (total)
5
13
Shots (on target)
2
5
Shots (off target)
2
4
Accurate passes
295
366
Brighton vs Newcastle Preview Stats
These statistics include important metrics such as Points Per Game, Win Percentage, BTTS, and Over 2.5 Goals. They are based on the last 10 matches (or fewer) across all competitions (including cups, continental leagues, etc). You can find more detailed data under "Teams Form" below.
Points Per Game (Overall)
Brighton
Newcastle
1.4
2.1
Points Per Game (Home/Away)
Brighton
Newcastle
1.67
1.8
Win Percentage (Overall)
Brighton
Newcastle
40%
70%
Win Percentage (Home/Away)
Brighton
Newcastle
50%
60%
Both Teams To Score (matches - Overall)
Brighton
Newcastle
90%
50%
Both Teams To Score (matches - Home/Away)
Brighton
Newcastle
83%
40%
Over 2.5 Goals (matches - Overall)
Brighton
Newcastle
100%
80%
Over 2.5 Goals (matches - Home/Away)
Brighton
Newcastle
100%
60%
Brighton vs Newcastle Key Facts
Newcastle United are 50% better in form than Brighton & Hove Albion over the last matches.
Newcastle United are 16% better in terms of average goals scored than Brighton & Hove Albion over the last matches across all competitions.
Newcastle United have allowed 50% fewer goals on average than Brighton & Hove Albion over the last matches across all competitions.
Brighton & Hove Albion (playing at home) are 43% better in terms of average goals scored than Newcastle United (playing away).
Newcastle United, when playing at away, has been 35% better than Brighton & Hove Albion playing at home, in terms of average goals conceded over the last matches.
Referee: Craig Pawson
Avg ▊: 3.7
Avg ▊: 0.1
Avg
▊
▊
: 0.1
Brighton vs Newcastle Head to Head
Brighton
All Time H2H
21 matches
Newcastle
Wins
9
Draws
7
Wins
5
23
Goals
17
42.9%
Win Perc.
23.8%
33.3%
Draw Perc.
33.3%
23.8%
Lost Perc.
42.9%
BTTS Yes / No
42.9% / 57.1%
2.5 Goals Over / Under
33.3% / 66.7%
Brighton
Recent H2H
12 matches
Newcastle
Wins
5
Draws
4
Wins
3
16
Goals
12
41.7%
Win Perc.
25%
33.3%
Draw Perc.
33.3%
25%
Lost Perc.
41.7%
BTTS Yes / No
58.3% / 41.7%
2.5 Goals Over / Under
50% / 50%
Last match between Brighton and Newcastle was played on 02-03-2025, at Newcastle's stadium and was won by Brighton with 1-1.
Brighton vs Newcastle Prediction
How Often Did the Teams Win When They Were Expected To?
Brighton started as the favorite in 6 out of their last 10 matches and successfully upheld that status by winning 3 (50%). This performance is considered good.
Newcastle entered 8 of their last 10 matches as the favorite, maintaining that status in 6 (75%) of those matches with a win. This performance is rated as very good.
Who Will Win?
Newcastle holds a 41.9% chance of winning the match, with weak confidence. Brighton's chances are at 32.6%, and the likelihood of a draw is 25.5%.
Will Both Teams Score?
There is strong confidence that Brighton and Newcastle will both score in this match (62.5% chance for Yes).
How Many Goals Will Be Scored (Over/Under 2.5)?
We think that over 2.5 goals will be scored in this match, with a 60.3% chance and strong confidence.
View Performance of PredictionsDISCLAIMER:
The predictions provided on this site are for informational purposes only and are not guaranteed outcomes. We strongly recommend to make your own judgments before placing any bets. The site cannot be held responsible or liable for any wins or losses resulting from relying solely on these predictions without independent analysis.
Teams Form (all competitions)
10
Matches
10
1.4
Pts/Game (PPG)
2.1
1.67
PPG Home
2.4
1
PPG Away
1.8
40%
Win Perc.
70%
50%
Win Perc. Home
80%
25%
Win Perc. Away
60%
20%
Draw Perc.
0%
17%
Draw Perc. Home
0%
25%
Draw Perc. Away
0%
40%
Lost Perc.
30%
33%
Lost Perc. Home
20%
50%
Lost Perc. Away
40%
4 / 2 / 4
Won/Draw/Lost
7 / 0 / 3
3 / 1 / 2
W/D/L Home
4 / 0 / 1
1 / 1 / 2
W/D/L Away
3 / 0 / 2
Teams Goals (all competitions)
19 / 1.9
Scored / Avg
22 / 2.2
12 / 2
Scored Home / Avg
15 / 3
7 / 1.75
Scored Away / Avg
7 / 1.4
22 / 2.2
Conceded / Avg
11 / 1.1
13 / 2.17
Conc. Home / Avg
4 / 0.8
9 / 2.25
Conc. Away / Avg
7 / 1.4
9
BTTS Matches
5
90%
BTTS %
50%
83%
BTTS Home
60%
100%
BTTS Away
40%
100%
Over 2.5
80%
0%
Under 2.5
20%
100%
Over 2.5 Home
100%
0%
Under 2.5 Home
0%
100%
Over 2.5 Away
60%
0%
Under 2.5 Away
40%
Teams Statistics (points, goals, corners etc)
34
Matches
34
1.5
PPG
1.82
1.6
Scored Avg
1.9
1.62
Conceded Avg
1.29
38%
Win Perc.
56%
35%
Draw Perc.
15%
26%
Lost Perc.
29%
3.3
Match goals Avg*
3.2
15%
Failed to score
15%
21%
Clean Sheets
35%
53%
Possession
51%
2.3
Match Cards Avg*
1.8
2.1
▊Cards Avg
1.7
0.1
▊Cards Avg
0
9.9
Total Corners Match*
10.9
5
Total Corners Team*
5.6
* Match Goals: average total number of goals scored in a match (both teams).
* Match Cards Avg: average number of cards received by the team, per match.
* Total Corners: average number of corners per match (both teams).
* Total Corners Team: average number of corners earned by the team, per match.
Teams Statistics (Over/Under goals, cards, corners etc)
71%
BTTS
53%
26%
BTTS 1H
24%
35%
BTTS 2H
15%
74%
Goals Over 2.5
68%
44%
Goals Over 3.5
38%
15%
Goals Over 4.5
21%
26%
Goals Under 2.5
32%
56%
Goals Under 3.5
62%
53%
Corners Over 4.5
59%
41%
Corners Over 5.5
44%
32%
Corners Over 6.5
44%
21%
Corners Over 7.5
26%
71%
Cards Over 1.5
50%
35%
Cards Over 2.5
32%
18%
Cards Over 3.5
18%
12%
Cards Over 4.5
0%
* Corners Over: earned by the team.
* Cards Over: cards received by the team.