Kickoff: 05 Feb 2025
Newcastle
Arsenal
EFL Cup, Venue: St James' Park (Newcastle upon Tyne, England)
Match Timeline
Final Time (2-0)
90+2'
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F. Schär
90+1'
L. Miley (out: B. Guimarães)
87'
C. Wilson (out: A. Isak)
87'
S. Longstaff (out: S. Tonali)
83'
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R. Sterling
80'
E. Krafth (out: S. Botman)
80'
J. Willock (out: J. Murphy)
78'
Jorginho (out: T. Partey)
78'
R. Calafiori (out: J. Timber)
61'
R. Sterling (out: M. Ødegaard)
61'
M. Merino (out: L. Trossard)
52'
2-0
A. Gordon (F. Schär)
47'
█
B. Guimarães
Half Time (1-0)
44'
█
W. Saliba
42'
█
K. Havertz
37'
E. Nwaneri (out: G. Martinelli)
19'
1-0
J. Murphy
7'
VAR: goal not awarded (A. Isak)
Statistics
Possession
32%
68%
Corner kicks
1
13
Fouls
12
12
Passes (total)
203
423
Yellow cards
2
3
Shots (total)
10
11
Shots (on target)
3
3
Shots (off target)
4
3
Accurate passes
127
351
Newcastle vs Arsenal Preview Stats
These statistics include important metrics such as Points Per Game, Win Percentage, BTTS, and Over 2.5 Goals. They are based on the last 10 matches (or fewer) across all competitions (including cups, continental leagues, etc). You can find more detailed data under "Teams Form" below.
Points Per Game (Overall)
Newcastle
Arsenal
2.4
2
Points Per Game (Home/Away)
Newcastle
Arsenal
1.8
2.5
Win Percentage (Overall)
Newcastle
Arsenal
80%
60%
Win Percentage (Home/Away)
Newcastle
Arsenal
60%
75%
Both Teams To Score (matches - Overall)
Newcastle
Arsenal
50%
70%
Both Teams To Score (matches - Home/Away)
Newcastle
Arsenal
60%
75%
Over 2.5 Goals (matches - Overall)
Newcastle
Arsenal
80%
70%
Over 2.5 Goals (matches - Home/Away)
Newcastle
Arsenal
100%
50%
Newcastle vs Arsenal Key Facts
Newcastle United are 20% better in form than Arsenal over the last matches.
Newcastle United are 4% better in terms of average goals scored than Arsenal over the last matches across all competitions.
Newcastle United have been 40% better at preventing goals on average compared to Arsenal over the last matches.
Newcastle United (playing at home) are 26% better in terms of average goals scored than Arsenal (playing away).
Arsenal, when playing at away, has been 46% better than Newcastle United playing at home, in terms of average goals conceded over the last matches.
Referee: Simon Hooper
Avg ▊: 3.3
Avg ▊: 0.0
Avg
▊
▊
: 0.0
Newcastle vs Arsenal Head to Head
Newcastle
All Time H2H
62 matches
Arsenal
Wins
14
Draws
11
Wins
37
48
Goals
100
22.6%
Win Perc.
59.7%
17.7%
Draw Perc.
17.7%
59.7%
Lost Perc.
22.6%
BTTS Yes / No
32.3% / 67.7%
2.5 Goals Over / Under
38.7% / 61.3%
Newcastle
Recent H2H
12 matches
Arsenal
Wins
4
Draws
1
Wins
7
7
Goals
17
33.3%
Win Perc.
58.3%
8.3%
Draw Perc.
8.3%
58.3%
Lost Perc.
33.3%
BTTS Yes / No
8.3% / 91.7%
2.5 Goals Over / Under
25% / 75%
Last match between Newcastle and Arsenal was played on 07-01-2025, at Arsenal's stadium and was won by Newcastle with 0-2.
Newcastle vs Arsenal Prediction
How Often Did the Teams Win When They Were Expected To?
Newcastle started as the favorite in 9 out of their last 10 matches and successfully upheld that status by winning 7 (78%). This performance is considered very good.
Arsenal entered 10 of their last 10 matches as the favorite, maintaining that status in 6 (60%) of those matches with a win. This performance is rated as very good.
Who Will Win?
Arsenal holds a 51.9% chance of winning the match, with moderate confidence. Newcastle's chances are at 23.8%, and the likelihood of a draw is 24.3%.
Will Both Teams Score?
There is moderate confidence that Newcastle and Arsenal will both score in this match (55.7% chance for Yes).
How Many Goals Will Be Scored (Over/Under 2.5)?
We think that over 2.5 goals will be scored in this match, with a 56.3% chance and moderate confidence.
View Performance of PredictionsMore Chances (by odds)
First To Score
1
X
2
34.8%
6.1%
59.1%
Confidence: moderate
First Half Result
1
X
2
21.3%
40.2%
38.5%
Confidence: moderate
DISCLAIMER:
The predictions provided on this site are for informational purposes only and are not guaranteed outcomes. We strongly recommend to make your own judgments before placing any bets. The site cannot be held responsible or liable for any wins or losses resulting from relying solely on these predictions without independent analysis.
Teams Form (all competitions)
10
Matches
10
2.4
Pts/Game (PPG)
2
1.8
PPG Home
1.67
3
PPG Away
2.5
80%
Win Perc.
60%
60%
Win Perc. Home
50%
100%
Win Perc. Away
75%
0%
Draw Perc.
20%
0%
Draw Perc. Home
17%
0%
Draw Perc. Away
25%
20%
Lost Perc.
20%
40%
Lost Perc. Home
33%
0%
Lost Perc. Away
0%
8 / 0 / 2
Won/Draw/Lost
6 / 2 / 2
3 / 0 / 2
W/D/L Home
3 / 1 / 2
5 / 0 / 0
W/D/L Away
3 / 1 / 0
Teams Goals (all competitions)
24 / 2.4
Scored / Avg
23 / 2.3
11 / 2.2
Scored Home / Avg
16 / 2.67
13 / 2.6
Scored Away / Avg
7 / 1.75
9 / 0.9
Conceded / Avg
15 / 1.5
7 / 1.4
Conc. Home / Avg
12 / 2
2 / 0.4
Conc. Away / Avg
3 / 0.75
5
BTTS Matches
7
50%
BTTS %
70%
60%
BTTS Home
67%
40%
BTTS Away
75%
80%
Over 2.5
70%
20%
Under 2.5
30%
100%
Over 2.5 Home
83%
0%
Under 2.5 Home
17%
60%
Over 2.5 Away
50%
40%
Under 2.5 Away
50%