Kickoff: 05 Feb 2025
Milan
Roma
Coppa Italia, Venue: San Siro/Giuseppe Meazza (Milan, Italy)
Match Timeline
Final Time (3-1)
90'
R. Sottil (out: Y. Musah)
80'
S. El Shaarawy (out: A. Saelemaekers)
79'
V. Nelsson (out: M. Hummels)
76'
VAR: goal not awarded (T. Reijnders)
71'
3-1
J. Félix (S. Giménez)
70'
R. Leão (out: A. Jiménez)
70'
█
M. Koné
59'
J. Félix (out: C. Pulišić)
59'
S. Giménez (out: T. Abraham)
54'
2-1
A. Dovbyk
46'
A. Dovbyk (out: E. Shomurodov)
46'
D. Rensch (out: Z. Çelik)
46'
L. Pellegrini (out: L. Paredes)
Half Time (2-0)
42'
2-0
T. Abraham (T. Hernández)
16'
1-0
T. Abraham (T. Hernández)
Statistics
Possession
51%
49%
Corner kicks
4
8
Fouls
9
10
Passes (total)
491
471
Yellow cards
0
1
Shots (total)
13
19
Shots (on target)
6
7
Shots (off target)
3
7
Accurate passes
435
418
Milan vs Roma Preview Stats
These statistics include important metrics such as Points Per Game, Win Percentage, BTTS, and Over 2.5 Goals. They are based on the last 10 matches (or fewer) across all competitions (including cups, continental leagues, etc). You can find more detailed data under "Teams Form" below.
Points Per Game (Overall)
Milan
Roma
1.8
2.1
Points Per Game (Home/Away)
Milan
Roma
1.8
1.25
Win Percentage (Overall)
Milan
Roma
50%
60%
Win Percentage (Home/Away)
Milan
Roma
40%
25%
Both Teams To Score (matches - Overall)
Milan
Roma
80%
60%
Both Teams To Score (matches - Home/Away)
Milan
Roma
80%
75%
Over 2.5 Goals (matches - Overall)
Milan
Roma
50%
50%
Over 2.5 Goals (matches - Home/Away)
Milan
Roma
20%
50%
Milan vs Roma Key Facts
Roma are 17% better in form than Milan over the last matches.
Roma are 47% better in terms of average goals scored than Milan over the last matches across all competitions.
Roma have allowed 38% fewer goals on average than Milan over the last matches across all competitions.
Milan (playing at home) are 12% better in terms of average goals scored than Roma (playing away).
Milan, playing at home, has outperformed Roma by 20% in terms of average goals conceded when Roma is playing away.
Referee: Marco Piccinini
Avg ▊: 4.7
Avg ▊: 0.2
Avg
▊
▊
: 0.1
Milan vs Roma Head to Head
Milan
All Time H2H
60 matches
Roma
Wins
19
Draws
20
Wins
21
76
Goals
86
31.7%
Win Perc.
35%
33.3%
Draw Perc.
33.3%
35%
Lost Perc.
31.7%
BTTS Yes / No
65% / 35%
2.5 Goals Over / Under
53.3% / 46.7%
Milan
Recent H2H
13 matches
Roma
Wins
6
Draws
4
Wins
3
24
Goals
20
46.2%
Win Perc.
23.1%
30.8%
Draw Perc.
30.8%
23.1%
Lost Perc.
46.2%
BTTS Yes / No
84.6% / 15.4%
2.5 Goals Over / Under
69.2% / 30.8%
The last match between Milan and Roma was played on 29-12-2024, at Milan's stadium and was a draw 1-1.
Milan vs Roma Prediction
How Often Did the Teams Win When They Were Expected To?
Milan started as the favorite in 6 out of their last 10 matches and successfully upheld that status by winning 3 (50%). This performance is considered good.
Roma entered 7 of their last 10 matches as the favorite, maintaining that status in 6 (86%) of those matches with a win. This performance is rated as excellent.
Last 15-Minute Comebacks: Points Secured from a Losing Position
Milan (3 points earned at home):
- playing at home against Parma, won 3-2 (26 Jan 2025), Serie A.
Roma (1 point earned at home):
- playing at home against Napoli, drew 1-1 (02 Feb 2025), Serie A.
Roma (1 point earned away):
- playing away against Bologna, drew 2-2 (12 Jan 2025), Serie A.
Who Will Win?
We believe there is a 46% chance that the match will be won by Milan (moderate confidence).
The chances for Roma stand at 27%, while the probability of a draw is 27%.
Will Both Teams Score?
There is moderate confidence that Milan and Roma will both score in this match (54.6% chance for Yes).
How Many Goals Will Be Scored (Over/Under 2.5)?
We think that over 2.5 goals will be scored in this match, with a 51.3% chance and weak confidence.
View Performance of PredictionsMore Chances (by odds)
First To Score
1
X
2
54.8%
8.1%
37.1%
Confidence: moderate
First Half Result
1
X
2
35%
41.9%
23%
Confidence: moderate
Match Corners 9.5
Over
Under
44.3%
55.7%
Confidence: moderate
Match Cards 5.5
Over
Under
44.3%
55.7%
Confidence: moderate
DISCLAIMER:
The predictions provided on this site are for informational purposes only and are not guaranteed outcomes. We strongly recommend to make your own judgments before placing any bets. The site cannot be held responsible or liable for any wins or losses resulting from relying solely on these predictions without independent analysis.
Teams Form (all competitions)
10
Matches
10
1.8
Pts/Game (PPG)
2.1
1.8
PPG Home
2.67
1.8
PPG Away
1.25
50%
Win Perc.
60%
40%
Win Perc. Home
83%
60%
Win Perc. Away
25%
30%
Draw Perc.
30%
60%
Draw Perc. Home
17%
0%
Draw Perc. Away
50%
20%
Lost Perc.
10%
0%
Lost Perc. Home
0%
40%
Lost Perc. Away
25%
5 / 3 / 2
Won/Draw/Lost
6 / 3 / 1
2 / 3 / 0
W/D/L Home
5 / 1 / 0
3 / 0 / 2
W/D/L Away
1 / 2 / 1
Teams Goals (all competitions)
15 / 1.5
Scored / Avg
22 / 2.2
7 / 1.4
Scored Home / Avg
17 / 2.83
8 / 1.6
Scored Away / Avg
5 / 1.25
13 / 1.3
Conceded / Avg
8 / 0.8
5 / 1
Conc. Home / Avg
3 / 0.5
8 / 1.6
Conc. Away / Avg
5 / 1.25
8
BTTS Matches
6
80%
BTTS %
60%
80%
BTTS Home
50%
80%
BTTS Away
75%
50%
Over 2.5
50%
50%
Under 2.5
50%
20%
Over 2.5 Home
50%
80%
Under 2.5 Home
50%
80%
Over 2.5 Away
50%
20%
Under 2.5 Away
50%