Kickoff: 27 Apr 2025
Marseille
Brest
Ligue 1, Venue: Orange Velodrome (Marseille, France)
Match Timeline
Final Time (4-1)
90+2'
█
P. L. Melou
88'
█
J. L. Cardinal
87'
H. Makalou (out: L. Ajorque)
83'
A. Harit (out: M. Greenwood)
77'
J. Martin (out: M. Camara)
77'
R. Del Castillo (out: M. P. Lage)
77'
Q. Merlin (out: L. Balerdi)
77'
D. Cornelius (out: U. Garcia)
71'
█
B. Chardonnet
69'
M. Baldé (out: H. Magnetti)
69'
K. Doumbia (out: A.Sima)
67'
J. Rowe (out: A. Gouiri)
67'
I. Bennacer (out: V. Rongier)
64'
VAR: goal awarded (A. Gouiri)
63'
4-1
A. Gouiri (A. Rabiot)
Half Time (3-1)
45'
3-1
A. Gouiri (M. Greenwood)
41'
█
M. Murillo
37'
2-1
M. Greenwood (A. Rabiot)
36'
█
L. Ajorque
25'
1-1
A.Sima (L. Ajorque)
8'
1-0
A. Gouiri (L. Henrique)
Statistics
Possession
54%
46%
Corner kicks
4
3
Fouls
14
16
Passes (total)
502
419
Yellow cards
1
4
Shots (total)
11
9
Shots (on target)
7
4
Shots (off target)
3
3
Accurate passes
444
351
Marseille vs Brest Preview Stats
These statistics include important metrics such as Points Per Game, Win Percentage, BTTS, and Over 2.5 Goals. They are based on the last 10 matches (or fewer) across all competitions (including cups, continental leagues, etc). You can find more detailed data under "Teams Form" below.
Points Per Game (Overall)
Marseille
Brest
1.5
1.2
Points Per Game (Home/Away)
Marseille
Brest
2.4
1
Win Percentage (Overall)
Marseille
Brest
50%
30%
Win Percentage (Home/Away)
Marseille
Brest
80%
20%
Both Teams To Score (matches - Overall)
Marseille
Brest
50%
60%
Both Teams To Score (matches - Home/Away)
Marseille
Brest
60%
60%
Over 2.5 Goals (matches - Overall)
Marseille
Brest
70%
70%
Over 2.5 Goals (matches - Home/Away)
Marseille
Brest
60%
80%
Marseille vs Brest Key Facts
Olympique de Marseille are 25% better in form than Stade Brestois over the last matches.
Olympique de Marseille are 27% better in terms of average goals scored than Stade Brestois over the last matches across all competitions.
Olympique de Marseille have been 19% better at preventing goals on average compared to Stade Brestois over the last matches.
Olympique de Marseille (playing at home) are 87% better in terms of average goals scored than Stade Brestois (playing away).
Olympique de Marseille, playing at home, has outperformed Stade Brestois by 64% in terms of average goals conceded when Stade Brestois is playing away.
Referee: Stephanie Frappart
Avg ▊: 3.7
Avg ▊: 0.2
Avg
▊
▊
: 0.1
Marseille vs Brest Head to Head
Marseille
All Time H2H
16 matches
Brest
Wins
9
Draws
3
Wins
4
29
Goals
15
56.3%
Win Perc.
25%
18.8%
Draw Perc.
18.8%
25%
Lost Perc.
56.3%
BTTS Yes / No
62.5% / 37.5%
2.5 Goals Over / Under
56.3% / 43.8%
Marseille
Recent H2H
9 matches
Brest
Wins
5
Draws
1
Wins
3
20
Goals
11
55.6%
Win Perc.
33.3%
11.1%
Draw Perc.
11.1%
33.3%
Lost Perc.
55.6%
BTTS Yes / No
77.8% / 22.2%
2.5 Goals Over / Under
66.7% / 33.3%
Last match between Marseille and Brest was played on 17-08-2024, at Brest's stadium and was won by Marseille with 1-5.
Marseille vs Brest Prediction
How Often Did the Teams Win When They Were Expected To?
Marseille started as the favorite in 8 out of their last 10 matches and successfully upheld that status by winning 5 (63%). This performance is considered very good.
Brest entered 5 of their last 10 matches as the favorite, maintaining that status in 1 (20%) of those matches with a win. This performance is rated as very poor.
Who Will Win?
We believe there is a 67.5% chance that the match will be won by Marseille (strong confidence).
The chances for Brest stand at 13.5%, while the probability of a draw is 18.9%.
Will Both Teams Score?
There is moderate confidence that Marseille and Brest will both score in this match (55.7% chance for Yes).
How Many Goals Will Be Scored (Over/Under 2.5)?
We think that over 2.5 goals will be scored in this match, with a 65.6% chance and strong confidence.
View Performance of PredictionsMore Chances (by odds)
First To Score
1
X
2
69.9%
4.3%
25.8%
Confidence: strong
First Half Result
1
X
2
51.1%
33.5%
15.4%
Confidence: strong
Match Corners 9.5
Over
Under
44.3%
55.7%
Confidence: moderate
DISCLAIMER:
The predictions provided on this site are for informational purposes only and are not guaranteed outcomes. We strongly recommend to make your own judgments before placing any bets. The site cannot be held responsible or liable for any wins or losses resulting from relying solely on these predictions without independent analysis.
Teams Form (all competitions)
10
Matches
10
1.5
Pts/Game (PPG)
1.2
2.4
PPG Home
1.4
0.6
PPG Away
1
50%
Win Perc.
30%
80%
Win Perc. Home
40%
20%
Win Perc. Away
20%
0%
Draw Perc.
30%
0%
Draw Perc. Home
20%
0%
Draw Perc. Away
40%
50%
Lost Perc.
40%
20%
Lost Perc. Home
40%
80%
Lost Perc. Away
40%
5 / 0 / 5
Won/Draw/Lost
3 / 3 / 4
4 / 0 / 1
W/D/L Home
2 / 1 / 2
1 / 0 / 4
W/D/L Away
1 / 2 / 2
Teams Goals (all competitions)
19 / 1.9
Scored / Avg
15 / 1.5
15 / 3
Scored Home / Avg
7 / 1.4
4 / 0.8
Scored Away / Avg
8 / 1.6
17 / 1.7
Conceded / Avg
21 / 2.1
5 / 1
Conc. Home / Avg
7 / 1.4
12 / 2.4
Conc. Away / Avg
14 / 2.8
5
BTTS Matches
6
50%
BTTS %
60%
60%
BTTS Home
60%
40%
BTTS Away
60%
70%
Over 2.5
70%
30%
Under 2.5
30%
60%
Over 2.5 Home
60%
40%
Under 2.5 Home
40%
80%
Over 2.5 Away
80%
20%
Under 2.5 Away
20%
Teams Statistics (points, goals, corners etc)
30
Matches
30
1.83
PPG
1.47
2.1
Scored Avg
1.6
1.4
Conceded Avg
1.63
57%
Win Perc.
43%
13%
Draw Perc.
17%
30%
Lost Perc.
40%
3.5
Match goals Avg*
3.2
20%
Failed to score
20%
17%
Clean Sheets
27%
64%
Possession
48%
2.2
Match Cards Avg*
2.1
1.8
▊Cards Avg
1.9
0.2
▊Cards Avg
0.1
8.2
Total Corners Match*
9.1
5.1
Total Corners Team*
4.3
* Match Goals: average total number of goals scored in a match (both teams).
* Match Cards Avg: average number of cards received by the team, per match.
* Total Corners: average number of corners per match (both teams).
* Total Corners Team: average number of corners earned by the team, per match.
Teams Statistics (Over/Under goals, cards, corners etc)
63%
BTTS
60%
13%
BTTS 1H
23%
40%
BTTS 2H
37%
67%
Goals Over 2.5
63%
47%
Goals Over 3.5
43%
27%
Goals Over 4.5
20%
33%
Goals Under 2.5
37%
53%
Goals Under 3.5
57%
50%
Corners Over 4.5
40%
33%
Corners Over 5.5
33%
30%
Corners Over 6.5
20%
20%
Corners Over 7.5
10%
53%
Cards Over 1.5
60%
40%
Cards Over 2.5
40%
17%
Cards Over 3.5
13%
13%
Cards Over 4.5
7%
* Corners Over: earned by the team.
* Cards Over: cards received by the team.