Kickoff: 25 Apr 2025
Bahia
Atl. Nacional
CONMEBOL Libertadores, Venue: Arena Fonte Nova (Salvador, Brazil)
Match Timeline
Final Time (1-0)
88'
N. Acevedo (out: J. Lucas)
78'
J. Castro (out: A. Román)
78'
B. Arce (out: E. Rivero)
78'
K. Parra (out: A. Morelos)
77'
R. Nestor (out: E. Ribeiro)
77'
Erick (out: C. Alexandre)
71'
1-0
W. José
68'
Ademir (out: Cauly)
67'
W. José (out: L. Rodríguez)
63'
E. Cardona (out: A. Sarmiento)
Half Time (0-0)
11'
█
S. R. Mingo
10'
█
J. Campuzano
Statistics
Possession
45%
55%
Corner kicks
10
0
Fouls
14
16
Passes (total)
410
529
Yellow cards
1
1
Shots (total)
13
10
Shots (on target)
4
5
Shots (off target)
8
2
Accurate passes
365
454
Bahia vs Atl. Nacional Preview Stats
These statistics include important metrics such as Points Per Game, Win Percentage, BTTS, and Over 2.5 Goals. They are based on the last 10 matches (or fewer) across all competitions (including cups, continental leagues, etc). You can find more detailed data under "Teams Form" below.
Points Per Game (Overall)
Bahia
Atl. Nacional
1.56
1.5
Points Per Game (Home/Away)
Bahia
Atl. Nacional
1.8
0.4
Win Percentage (Overall)
Bahia
Atl. Nacional
33%
40%
Win Percentage (Home/Away)
Bahia
Atl. Nacional
40%
0%
Both Teams To Score (matches - Overall)
Bahia
Atl. Nacional
67%
30%
Both Teams To Score (matches - Home/Away)
Bahia
Atl. Nacional
80%
0%
Over 2.5 Goals (matches - Overall)
Bahia
Atl. Nacional
33%
40%
Over 2.5 Goals (matches - Home/Away)
Bahia
Atl. Nacional
20%
20%
Bahia vs Atl. Nacional Key Facts
Bahia are 4% better in form than Atlético Nacional over the last matches.
Atlético Nacional are 7% better in terms of average goals scored than Bahia over the last matches across all competitions.
Atlético Nacional have allowed 10% fewer goals on average than Bahia over the last matches across all competitions.
Bahia (playing at home) are Infinity% better in terms of average goals scored than Atlético Nacional (playing away).
Bahia, playing at home, has outperformed Atlético Nacional by 17% in terms of average goals conceded when Atlético Nacional is playing away.
Referee: Mario Alberto Diaz de Vivar Bogado
Avg ▊: 5.0
Avg ▊: 0.0
Avg
▊
▊
: 0.0
Bahia vs Atl. Nacional Head to Head
Bahia
All Time H2H
2 matches
Atl. Nacional
Wins
0
Draws
1
Wins
1
1
Goals
1
Bahia
Atl. Nacional
0%
Win Perc.
50%
50%
Draw Perc.
50%
50%
Lost Perc.
0%
BTTS Yes / No
0% / 100%
2.5 Goals Over / Under
0% / 100%
The last match between Bahia and Atl. Nacional was played on 24-10-2013, at Bahia's stadium and was a draw 1-0.
Bahia vs Atl. Nacional Prediction
How Often Did the Teams Win When They Were Expected To?
Bahia started as the favorite in 7 out of their last 10 matches and successfully upheld that status by winning 5 (71%). This performance is considered very good.
Atl. Nacional entered 7 of their last 10 matches as the favorite, maintaining that status in 4 (57%) of those matches with a win. This performance is rated as good.
Last 15-Minute Comebacks: Points Secured from a Losing Position
Bahia (1 point earned away):
- playing away against Vitória, drew 1-1 (23 Mar 2025), Baiano, Série A – Mata-mata.
Who Will Win?
We believe there is a 49.9% chance that the match will be won by Bahia (moderate confidence).
The chances for Atl. Nacional stand at 23.7%, while the probability of a draw is 26.4%.
Will Both Teams Score?
It appears that only one team will score in this match, with BTTS (No) at 53.3%.
How Many Goals Will Be Scored (Over/Under 2.5)?
We believe that under 2.5 goals will be scored in this match, with moderate confidence and a 56.3% chance.
View Performance of PredictionsMore Chances (by odds)
First To Score
1
X
2
56.9%
10.5%
32.5%
Confidence: moderate
First Half Result
1
X
2
35.9%
44.4%
19.7%
Confidence: moderate
Match Corners 9.5
Over
Under
50%
50%
Confidence:
DISCLAIMER:
The predictions provided on this site are for informational purposes only and are not guaranteed outcomes. We strongly recommend to make your own judgments before placing any bets. The site cannot be held responsible or liable for any wins or losses resulting from relying solely on these predictions without independent analysis.
Teams Form (all competitions)
Atl. Nacional
→
9
Matches
10
1.56
Pts/Game (PPG)
1.5
1.8
PPG Home
2.6
1.25
PPG Away
0.4
33%
Win Perc.
40%
40%
Win Perc. Home
80%
25%
Win Perc. Away
0%
56%
Draw Perc.
30%
60%
Draw Perc. Home
20%
50%
Draw Perc. Away
40%
11%
Lost Perc.
30%
0%
Lost Perc. Home
0%
25%
Lost Perc. Away
60%
3 / 5 / 1
Won/Draw/Lost
4 / 3 / 3
2 / 3 / 0
W/D/L Home
4 / 1 / 0
1 / 2 / 1
W/D/L Away
0 / 2 / 3
Teams Goals (all competitions)
Bahia
11 - 11
Atl. Nacional
13 - 11
11 / 1.22
Scored / Avg
13 / 1.3
7 / 1.4
Scored Home / Avg
13 / 2.6
4 / 1
Scored Away / Avg
0 / 0
11 / 1.22
Conceded / Avg
11 / 1.1
5 / 1
Conc. Home / Avg
5 / 1
6 / 1.5
Conc. Away / Avg
6 / 1.2
6
BTTS Matches
3
67%
BTTS %
30%
80%
BTTS Home
60%
50%
BTTS Away
0%
33%
Over 2.5
40%
67%
Under 2.5
60%
20%
Over 2.5 Home
60%
80%
Under 2.5 Home
40%
50%
Over 2.5 Away
20%
50%
Under 2.5 Away
80%