Kickoff: 14 May 2025
CONMEBOL Libertadores, Venue: Estadio Atanasio Girardot (Medellin, Colombia)
Match Timeline
Final Time (1-0)
90+6'
E. Rivero (out: M. Hinestroza)
90+4'
█
M. Hinestroza
90+4'
█
A. Sarmiento
88'
A. Sarmiento (out: B. Arce)
87'
M. Araújo (out: J. Lucas)
81'
D. Asprilla (out: E. Cardona)
80'
A. Morelos (out: K. Viveros)
77'
Kayky (out: Cauly)
77'
N. Acevedo (out: C. Alexandre)
68'
W. José (out: L. Rodríguez)
68'
R. Nestor (out: E. Ribeiro)
49'
VAR: goal awarded (K. Viveros)
46'
1-0
K. Viveros (B. Arce)
Half Time (0-0)
31'
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M. Uribe
Statistics
Possession
56%
44%
Corner kicks
7
2
Fouls
12
5
Passes (total)
451
364
Yellow cards
3
0
Shots (total)
11
6
Shots (on target)
2
2
Shots (off target)
8
4
Accurate passes
383
301
Atl. Nacional vs Bahia Preview Stats
These statistics include important metrics such as Points Per Game, Win Percentage, BTTS, and Over 2.5 Goals. They are based on the last 10 matches (or fewer) across all competitions (including cups, continental leagues, etc). You can find more detailed data under "Teams Form" below.
Points Per Game (Overall)
Atl. Nacional
Bahia
1.7
1.9
Points Per Game (Home/Away)
Atl. Nacional
Bahia
3
1.8
Win Percentage (Overall)
Atl. Nacional
Bahia
50%
60%
Win Percentage (Home/Away)
Atl. Nacional
Bahia
100%
60%
Both Teams To Score (matches - Overall)
Atl. Nacional
Bahia
40%
20%
Both Teams To Score (matches - Home/Away)
Atl. Nacional
Bahia
60%
0%
Over 2.5 Goals (matches - Overall)
Atl. Nacional
Bahia
50%
20%
Over 2.5 Goals (matches - Home/Away)
Atl. Nacional
Bahia
80%
20%
Atl. Nacional vs Bahia Key Facts
Bahia are 12% better in form than Atlético Nacional over the last matches.
Atlético Nacional are 75% better in terms of average goals scored than Bahia over the last matches across all competitions.
Bahia have allowed 11% fewer goals on average than Atlético Nacional over the last matches across all competitions.
Atlético Nacional (playing at home) are 333% better in terms of average goals scored than Bahia (playing away).
Atlético Nacional, playing at home, has outperformed Bahia by 25% in terms of average goals conceded when Bahia is playing away.
Referee: Dario Herrera
Avg ▊: 5.5
Avg ▊: 0.2
Avg
▊
▊
: 0.2
Atl. Nacional vs Bahia Head to Head

Atl. Nacional
All Time H2H
3 matches

Bahia
Wins
1
Draws
1
Wins
1
1
Goals
2
33.3%
Win Perc.
33.3%
33.3%
Draw Perc.
33.3%
33.3%
Lost Perc.
33.3%
BTTS Yes / No
0% / 100%
2.5 Goals Over / Under
0% / 100%

Atl. Nacional
Recent H2H
1 matches

Bahia
Wins
0
Draws
0
Wins
1
0
Goals
1
0%
Win Perc.
100%
0%
Draw Perc.
0%
100%
Lost Perc.
0%
BTTS Yes / No
0% / 100%
2.5 Goals Over / Under
0% / 100%
The last match between Atl. Nacional and Bahia was played on 25-04-2025, at Bahia's stadium and was won by Bahia with 1-0.
Atl. Nacional vs Bahia Prediction
How Often Did the Teams Win When They Were Expected To?
Atl. Nacional started as the favorite in 7 out of their last 10 matches and successfully upheld that status by winning 5 (71%). This performance is considered very good.
Bahia entered 7 of their last 10 matches as the favorite, maintaining that status in 5 (71%) of those matches with a win. This performance is rated as very good.
Who Will Win?
We believe there is a 53.7% chance that the match will be won by Atl. Nacional (moderate confidence).
The chances for Bahia stand at 20.9%, while the probability of a draw is 25.4%.
Will Both Teams Score?
It appears that only one team will score in this match, with BTTS (No) at 54.6%.
How Many Goals Will Be Scored (Over/Under 2.5)?
We believe that under 2.5 goals will be scored in this match, with moderate confidence and a 55.3% chance.
View Performance of PredictionsDISCLAIMER:
The predictions provided on this site are for informational purposes only and are not guaranteed outcomes. We strongly recommend to make your own judgments before placing any bets. The site cannot be held responsible or liable for any wins or losses resulting from relying solely on these predictions without independent analysis.
Teams Form (all competitions)
Atl. Nacional
→
10
Matches
10
1.7
Pts/Game (PPG)
1.9
3
PPG Home
2
0.4
PPG Away
1.8
50%
Win Perc.
60%
100%
Win Perc. Home
60%
0%
Win Perc. Away
60%
20%
Draw Perc.
10%
0%
Draw Perc. Home
20%
40%
Draw Perc. Away
0%
30%
Lost Perc.
30%
0%
Lost Perc. Home
20%
60%
Lost Perc. Away
40%
5 / 2 / 3
Won/Draw/Lost
6 / 1 / 3
5 / 0 / 0
W/D/L Home
3 / 1 / 1
0 / 2 / 3
W/D/L Away
3 / 0 / 2
Teams Goals (all competitions)
Atl. Nacional
14 - 9
Bahia
8 - 8
14 / 1.4
Scored / Avg
8 / 0.8
13 / 2.6
Scored Home / Avg
5 / 1
1 / 0.2
Scored Away / Avg
3 / 0.6
9 / 0.9
Conceded / Avg
8 / 0.8
3 / 0.6
Conc. Home / Avg
4 / 0.8
6 / 1.2
Conc. Away / Avg
4 / 0.8
4
BTTS Matches
2
40%
BTTS %
20%
60%
BTTS Home
40%
20%
BTTS Away
0%
50%
Over 2.5
20%
50%
Under 2.5
80%
80%
Over 2.5 Home
20%
20%
Under 2.5 Home
80%
20%
Over 2.5 Away
20%
80%
Under 2.5 Away
80%